Vegetation

Different regions of the U.S. have different wildfire activity primarily because of differences in climate, and climate influences wildfires fundamentally by influencing the type, the density, and the seasonality of vegetation. Although some regions are more susceptible to wildfires than others, vegetation will not burn unless, at some point in time, climate conditions caused it be dry enough to sustain a wildfire. The term fuel refers to vegetation that is dry enough to burn.

Figure 1. Average annual fuel consumed in wildfires during 2003-2015 (Urbanski, et.al.), primary vegetation type, and climate classifications in the continental U.S.
Average annual fuel consumed in wildfires during 2003-2015 (Urbanski, et.al.), primary vegetation type, and climate classifications in the continental U.S. shows important aspects of climate and vegetation that impact the wildfire activity in the Western U.S. The first is that the deserts in the Southwest U.S. are the only true deserts in the Western U.S., and they represent a relatively small area – shown by the bright red climate classification in the bottom map. The second is that forested regions exist across much of the northern half of the Western U.S., with prairie, grasslands, and a mix of groves and deciduous trees characterizing other areas – shown in the middle map by green and tan. Over most of the western half of the U.S., therefore, there is vegetation which, when sufficiently dry, creates at least some wildfire risk – see the top map. Furthermore, the U.S. essentially spans a latitude belt from about 30 to 45 degrees north and most locations are therefore influenced by periodic storm systems for at least a portion of the year, supporting periodic vegetation growth and re-growth.

The amount and the type of biomass available to burn is a function of soil, land slope, slope orientation, elevation, and climate. For example, in a perpetually dry climate the vegetation may be dry and therefore readily burn, but not dense enough to support catastrophic wildfires. The character as well as the amount of precipitation matters to the biomass available: if annual precipitation occurs mostly as snow or heavy downpours that run off steep terrain, heavy vegetation growth and therefore fuel accumulation may not be possible.

The types of vegetation influence fire behavior based on the fuel density as well as how dry it is. Grasses, shrubs, and other such "fine fuels" dry quickly and can readily ignite, but they burn off quickly and therefore may not contribute to very large, hot, or otherwise destructive fires. Regions with more coarse fuel loads such as trees, however, are more likely to experience destructive and large fires. Trees burn more slowly than fine fuels, create more heat, and generate longer flame lengths; in forests with tall trees, the stronger winds in the tree canopy relative to the surface also contribute to fire spread. Dense forests do not have to be very dry – they will burn if exposed to flame for a sufficient time.

The type of coarse vegetation matters as well – trees with high concentrations of oils and other highly flammable chemical components, such as pines and eucalyptus, can generate especially hot, damaging fires. In general, forested areas are associated with the largest, hottest, and most destructive fires.

Although the frequency of lightning is a feature of climate, and lightning ignites many wildfires in the Western U.S.1 the connection between wildfire and climate is primarily by how climate influences the type, abundance, and dryness of fuels, and weather conditions such as wind, precipitation, humidity, and temperature.

1 From 2001 to 2022, across the Western U.S. about 30% of the total fires and about 60% of the total area burned were lightning caused (data from National Interagency Fire Center: https://www.nifc.gov/fire-information/statistics)